by Frank Loberbaum, Sierra Club delegate to Copenhagen
First portion written in December 2009
I am back home a week now and still trying to understand what happened. I am used to attending conferences like the American Institute of Architects or US Green Building Council that are basically educational, networking and party opportunities. The Conference on Climate Change was an educational opportunity but the similarity stops there. This was a working conference attended by people from all over the globe that I believe care. They care first about their own countries’ future and I believe they all care about the future of our planet, some more passionately than others. They work all hours of the day and night. They are bright caring respectful people of all ages. Two thousand concerned youth attended the conference as observers.
Official decisions at the conference are made by consensus. The intent is for representatives of nations from all over the globe, all climates and all stages of development and wealth to sit down and reach agreements by consensus. These agreements are to be for the betterment of the planet regardless of their own personal interests. Can you imagine what would happen if decisions by our senate were made by consensus, every single one of our senators must agree before a bill is to be passed? I can't even make an intelligible response to that question. The process is seriously flawed and must and will be reviewed prior to the next conference in Cancun, Mexico, in December 2010.
There are six official UN meetings going on often simultaneously during the two weeks, many into the wee hours of the night and they are:
1) COP 15 - the 15th Conference of the Parties (COP), signatories to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Treaty (192 countries)
2) CMP 5 - the 5th Conference of the Parties serving as the Meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (189 countries)
3 - 4) Two Ad Hoc groups that have been assigned tasks by the Cop or CMP
5 - 6) Two technical groups that have been assigned tasks by the COP or CMP
In addition there are 135 side events (presentations by various businesses, groups or governments) and 200 exhibits. There are 5000 media representatives documenting everything that moves or might move.
A daily program is handed out as you enter the center. It is daily because it changes daily. Monitors are placed throughout the center that show scrolling updates on additions/changes to the schedule that was updated and printed early that morning. There are also people outside picketing and kids running around the conference center dressed up in Polar bear outfits singing clever songs to Christmas carol tunes. At 6:00 p.m. daily an attractive young Asian woman named Hilda dressed like a mermaid allegedly emerges from the depths of the ocean to award the Fossil of the Day Award to a chorus of boos from onlookers called NGO's. Naturally, Arnold Schwarzenegger walks by. Mandela is in another room chatting with Hillary. Get the picture? Total Chaos.
There were ambitious expectations for this conference. It was hoped that developed and developing nations would establish future emission goals that would slow down and then stop global warming soon. It was hoped that mechanisms for sharing wealth and technology with the developing and least developed countries would be established. It was hoped that the countries most ravaged by climate change would gain assistance for adaptation. It was hoped that a legally binding agreement would be forged. Bold actions from ALL parties to satisfy these hopes were not realized.I do think there were some positive outcomes from the conference
- All parties acknowledged that climate change is real and we need to act.
- Honest open discussions between parties took place.
- Some developing countries established emission goals.
- China agreed to some form of inspection/verification, exact form yet to be determined.
- 30 billion was pledged over the next three years to assist the poorest countries needing assistance for adaptation due to climate change.
The Copenhagen Accord (CA) was only “noted” by the conference. The CA has been agreed to by countries that are responsible for over 50% of worldwide CO2 emissions. The CA may develop into a meaningful agreement, and then it may not. In its absence the conference would have ended in total failure.
Don't forget that the Kyoto Protocol was presented in 1997 and did not take effect until 2005. It is still the only legally binding agreement by the UNFCCC. The U.S. agreed to the Kyoto Protocol at the 1997 conference, only to have the U.S. congress retract the offer. Only 39 of the 189 countries under the Kyoto Protocol have any tangible responsibilities under the protocol, many of which are not living up to their commitments. Under the Kyoto Protocol there are not any meaningful consequences for not living up to their commitment. The developing nations not only create the most green house gases (GHG) annually but are predicted to have the greatest annual growth in GHG emissions as well. They have no responsibilities under the Kyoto Protocol.
I think some progress, although minimal, has been made at Copenhagen in 2009, certainly not as much as we had hoped. I think our planet is eager for a major country to step up and take the leadership role in the battle against climate change. I believe the present administration in Washington is ready and able to accept that role if it has the support of our legislature and our people. With strong support maybe the U.S. can provide that leadership role at COP 16 in Cancun in December 2010.
Five Months Later
May 2010. To date 110 nations have expressed support for the Copenhagen Accord, much more than anticipated at the conclusion of the conference. I included all the detail about the conference to communicate the difficulties encountered by the UN process. Many countries, including the U.S., have expressed concern about the ability of the UNFCC to provide the mechanism for reaching an agreement. Other forums such as the G20 bloc and the 17-nation Major Economies Forum (MEF) could be useful platforms for negotiations, but the UN is the only forum that has international buy-in. The members of MEF are responsible for 90% of global CO2 emissions. Without strong U.S. support, if not leadership, a global agreement will be difficult to achieve. With the current political climate in the U.S. it is not likely that support for Climate Change actions will take place in the near future.
At this difficult time in the evolution of our planet it is critical that we voice our support for programs and actions that support the battle against climate change. Please continue to do your important work for our children.
I would like to thank the Chapter for their financial support for my expenses at the conference. I will be happy to meet with your group to further share my experiences in Copenhagen. Please contact me at florberbaum@arconstl.com.